2025’s costliest US breaches: identity, outage math, outcomes

Identity-led intrusions at distributors, govtech, healthcare, and an appliance vendor drove nine-figure losses. Outage duration and revocation speed determined the spread between disruption and recovery.

2026 prediction: “sovereign cloud” becomes the #1 way to accidentally create telemetry refugees 🛂☁️

Meanwhile: DPRK “IT workers” in the supply chain + OAuth consent hijacks that laugh at MFA 🔑🎭

What’s your log-clears-customs plan?

2025’s priciest breaches weren’t “elite malware.” They were tokens + SaaS + downtime 🪙⏱️🔥
If your revoke MTTR is measured in days, the attackers already won.

Christmas week SOC truth: EDR “leader” in 2026 = who contains fastest and survives the intern shipping updates to prod. 🎄🧑‍💻🔥
Our model: CrowdStrike 50% (±8), Defender 35% (±7), SentinelOne 15% (±5).

Holiday scammers are running peak-season ops 📦🎄
“Delivery problem” texts, AI “family emergency” calls, and “pay via gift card/Zelle” pressure.
Rule: don’t click, hang up + call back, never gift cards/crypto/wires.

Part 2: OAuth consent scams went from “one guy” to a token factory 🎅🏭🔑
Salesloft/Drift showed how stolen OAuth tokens → Salesforce tenant exfil at scale. Google Cloud+1
Deep dive + defenses (verified publisher, least scope, fast revoke MTTR).

Zero-days get the headlines. Stolen tokens + OAuth consent abuse get the invoices. 🧾🔑😈
2025 pain = AiTM/device-code phishing + token replay + KEV-speed edge fires.