UNC5221 loves the edge—and Q4. Do they drop a fresh zero-day before New Year’s? Our Forecast Card says 32% and climbing.
Why: GTI tracked 75 in-the-wild zero-days last year (edge gear was a magnet). BRICKSTORM showed 393-day dwell on under-monitored appliances. Add CitrixBleed-2/NetScaler and the F5 source-code breach, and you’ve got prime conditions for a late-season pop and a laggy public attribution window. If it hits, expect Ivanti/Citrix/F5/VMware/PAN/Fortinet to be the blast radius. What’s your base rate for a UNC5221-linked zero-day by 12/31?
Full Updated Forecast Card → https://blog.alphahunt.io/will-unc5221-pop-a-fresh-zero-day-before-dec-31-updated
#AlphaHunt #ZeroDay #UNC5221 #Ivanti #NetScaler