[FORECAST] Residential IPs are not enough evidence to call something noise

China-linked operators are turning compromised routers into relay logistics. The defender move is behavior over bad IPs.

[DEEP RESEARCH] The Bad IP Was Never the Actor

A bad IP can be accurate and still tell the wrong story.

[GAME THEORY] UAT-4356/Storm-1849: When Patching Is Not Eviction

“We patched it” is doing a lot of emotional labor.

FIRESTARTER surviving the usual cleanup path is the edge-device version of finding out your deadbolt came with a forwarding address…

[FORECAST] Will RedNovember be publicly reported to exploit at least one zero-day vulnerability in 2026? Updated 2026-03-24

CISA Flags Dell RecoverPoint Zero-Day: Backup Systems as the New Beachhead

Your backup system isn’t your parachute. It’s a beachhead. 🏖️

Mandiant/GTIG report UNC6201 exploiting Dell RP4VM (CVE-2026-22769, CVSS 10.0). Hardcoded credential → OS-level control + root persistence.

[FORECAST] Dismantled or Displaced? Cambodia’s Scam-Compound Crackdown by 2030?

Cambodia says it sealed off ~190 scam sites. 🧨
Now the real question: dismantled or displaced? 🧱🚚
Our forecast uses grown-up metrics (convictions + asset denial + independent compound counts).

BadIIS Isn’t Enough: The IIS Module + HTTP Fingerprints That Catch SEO-Fraud Cloaking

Vendors are naming slices of the same IIS SEO fraud problem differently. This summary aligns those labels into one unified hunt surface and shows how to separate UAT-8099/WEBJACK from other BadIIS-style activity using concrete host and HTTP fingerprints.

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