December is when zero-days either show up to the party… or quietly RSVP “see you in January.” 😈📆
CISA/NSA/Canada just dropped fresh #BRICKSTORM details showing #PRC operators living comfortably inside VMware vCenter/ESXi and Windows for long-term persistence. Translation: the edge is still the VIP entrance.
And the F5 source-code theft + CISA’s emergency directive earlier this fall is the kind of supply-chain mess that can turn “maybe a new 0-day” into “surprise, it’s Monday.”
Zoom out: GTI’s 2024 data showed enterprise tech is where the 0-day heat is (roughly 44% of tracked 2024 zero-days).
So our final read is intentionally cold-blooded: 11% chance UNC5221 gets publicly linked to a new zero-day before Dec 31 — not because they can’t, but because attribution + calendar are brutal.
If you’re betting your holiday uptime on “we’ll see it in 2026,” are you also treating your edge stack like a Tier-0 asset right now? 🤔
Read the final forecast + scenarios: https://blog.alphahunt.io/will-unc5221-pop-a-fresh-zero-day-before-dec-31-final-forecast
#AlphaHunt #ZeroDay #VMware #ChinaNexus #ThreatIntelligence