Disruption = verified seizure banner on a primary endpoint or ≥14 days dark across all DLS/portals with official attribution.
Base rate is 18%; we call 20% given multi-agency tempo (Cronos/LockBit/8Base) vs. Cl0p’s mirror-and-move resilience. 🧩
Two spicy takes:
• The playbook exists; execution speed and jurisdictional reach decide the outcome.
• Hydra-style mirrors mean a banner isn’t victory unless mirrors stay down.
Question for defenders: If one primary onion gets seized but mirrors respawn in 24–48h, do you treat that as material disruption or just noise?
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https://blog.alphahunt.io/cl0ps-leak-sites-20-chance-they-go-dark-by-apr-22-2026