[FORECAST] Iran Cyber Is Active. The Evidence Bar Is Harder.
![[FORECAST] Iran Cyber Is Active. The Evidence Bar Is Harder.](https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/54bd1221e4b05e8a3646d021/1778696857364-AVRHX3XKXJ0MP943CHJA/zz.png)
The forecast is stubborn.
Iran-linked PLC activity is real. The harder part is proof: numbers, attribution, novelty.
Noise is not qualification.
[FORECAST ] Iran’s Cyber Window Is Still Open—But the Qualification Clock Is Now the Hardest Adversary (Updated 2026-05-05!)
![[FORECAST ] Iran’s Cyber Window Is Still Open—But the Qualification Clock Is Now the Hardest Adversary (Updated 2026-05-05!)](https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/54bd1221e4b05e8a3646d021/1777919075902-TL4QPYZKLJGOXEET30IY/z.png)
Iran-linked cyber activity is not the part defenders should hand-wave.
The part to distrust is the scoreboard.
Every nuisance claim wants to dress up as “critical infrastructure impact.” The evidence bar still matters.
[FORECAST] Iran’s Cyber Window Stays Open—But the Novelty Bar Is Tougher Now (Updated: 2026-04-23)
![[FORECAST] Iran’s Cyber Window Stays Open—But the Novelty Bar Is Tougher Now (Updated: 2026-04-23)](https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/54bd1221e4b05e8a3646d021/1776885867045-0KK8LC3Y5O50IO9SPNTG/z.png)
The industry loves a neat PLC story because it keeps the threat in a box you can point at.
The less fun version is when the same campaign walks through identity or an admin plane your org still treats like plumbing.